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Product Abstract

Program on Technology Innovation: A Conceptual Framework for Modeling the Impact of CO2 Policy on Generator Cash Flows

Product ID:1013296
Date Published:20-Dec-2006
Sector Name:Environment
Document Type:Technical Results
Price:No Charge

This Product is publicly available

   657.83 KB - Adobe PDF (.pdf)

Climate policy represents a fundamental uncertainty for electricity generating companies. Although many analyses are available, the timing and stringency of domestic climate policies are unknown and will likely be dependent upon the actions of other countries. The outcomes of these deliberations can dramatically change the return on generation investments. Today, many electric companies are actively considering substantial investments in new capacity. The technology choices these companies make and the financial return on investments are integrally tied to future environmental policies and, in particular, to climate policy. This report presents a conceptual framework for evaluating how climate policy leading to a price on CO2 emissions would affect the cash flows of generating assets. The conceptual framework is illustrated with many examples drawn from data for the ECAR-MAIN region of the U.S. power market. The examples demonstrate how a price on CO2, changing prices of natural gas, and additions of new generating capacity impact the economics of existing generation and proposed additions of new generation. The report concludes with an analysis of how CO2 prices affect incentives for new non-emitting generation and the corresponding effect on emissions.
2006 Program 103   Analysis of Environmental Policy Design, Implementation and Company Strategy
  • Global Climate Change
  • Climate policy
  • Generation assets
  • Cash flows
  • Net Revenue

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